🇯🇴Jordan Intelligence

Source: Home Office Immigration System Statistics, year ending March 2026.

Visas granted (2025)

949

Year-on-year change

-2.5%

Refusal rate (2025)

4.3%

Course split

Bachelors 44.0% / Masters 33.0%

Essentially flat year on year. Refusal rate of 4.3% is approaching the BCA amber threshold. Bachelors is now dominant, having overtaken Masters.

Student Visa Applications vs Visas Granted — Jordan 2020 to 2025

Source: Home Office Immigration Statistics. Applications are visa applications submitted to UKVI, not university applications.

ApplicationsGrants
02545077611,014202020212022202320242025

Note: Jordan surged dramatically in 2021 — up 102% from the pandemic baseline — then plateaued. Volumes have been remarkably stable between 949 and 1,001 every year since 2022.

2025 grants by course level

Bachelors418 (44.0%)
Masters313 (33.0%)
Below Bachelors134 (14.1%)
Doctoral70 (7.4%)

Note: Jordan has the fourth highest Doctoral proportion of any market in the dataset at 7.4% — behind only Saudi Arabia, Australia and Indonesia. Jordan is fundamentally a Bachelors and research market.

Course level trends — 2020 to 2025

BachelorsMastersBelow BachelorsDoctoral
0105209314418202020212022202320242025

Note: In 2021 Masters and Bachelors were almost exactly equal at 400 and 398. Since then Bachelors has grown consistently while Masters has declined every year — down 22% from the 2021 peak. Below Bachelors peaked in 2023 at 178 and is now declining.

Refusal rate by course level

Percentage of applications refused, 2020–2025. Negative values indicate more grants than applications due to timing differences.

Course level202020212022202320242025
Bachelors0.4%1.2%5.1%3.8%4.5%4.8%
Masters1.3%4.3%0.3%1.8%3.7%4.0%
Below Bachelors-7.4%1.9%1.8%3.8%-1.3%4.3%
Doctoral-6.1%8.3%-8.1%1.7%7.4%4.1%

Compliance note: All four course levels are now within striking distance of the 5% BCA threshold. If refusal rates rise even slightly in 2026 Jordan could move into amber territory.

Quarterly visa grants — 2024 vs 2025

20242025
42
46
Q1
49
66
Q2
790
767
Q3
92
70
Q4

Note: Q3 dominates at 81% of annual volume. Q2 grew 35% in 2025 versus 2024 — a positive signal suggesting January intake uptake is developing. Q4 declined 24% — worth monitoring as a leading indicator.

Jordan — A Stable Mid-Size Arab Market With Geopolitical Complexity

Jordan occupies a distinctive and complex position in the Middle East — a constitutional monarchy of 10 million people that has historically maintained relative stability in one of the world's most turbulent regions. Jordan hosts more refugees per capita than almost any country on earth — over 760,000 registered Syrian refugees and a long-established Palestinian population that makes up a significant proportion of Jordan's citizenry.

This demographic complexity shapes the Jordanian student market in important ways. A meaningful proportion of Jordanian passport holders studying in the UK have Palestinian, Syrian or other regional heritage — reflecting Jordan's role as a refuge and hub for the broader Arab world.

Jordan's own higher education sector is relatively well developed by regional standards — the University of Jordan, Jordan University of Science and Technology and other institutions are regionally recognised. Students choosing UK universities are typically seeking international credentials, research opportunities or career mobility beyond the Arab world.

Jordan Vision 2025 — the country's national development strategy — explicitly identifies education and human capital development as priorities, creating policy-level support for overseas study in disciplines aligned with economic development needs including Engineering, Medicine, Technology and Business.

Source: University of Manchester Jordan page; UNHCR Jordan; Jordan Vision 2025.

Scholarship Pathways for Jordanian Students to the UK

Several scholarship programmes fund Jordanian students to study in the UK. The Chevening Scholarship — the UK government's flagship international scholarship — is available to Jordanian applicants for one-year Masters programmes at UK universities. Chevening scholars are future leaders selected on academic excellence and leadership potential. Jordan consistently produces Chevening scholars.

The Bseisu-University of Cambridge Scholarship — offered in partnership with the Amjad and Suha Bseisu Foundation — is available to Masters applicants who are citizens of Lebanon, Jordan, Palestine or Syria. The Said Foundation Scholarships support exceptional students from the Middle East — including Jordan — with Masters study at leading UK universities in any field. The Gates Cambridge Scholarship offers approximately 80 full-cost scholarships to outstanding postgraduate applicants from outside the UK including Jordan.

UK universities should also be aware that the Jordanian Ministry of Higher Education maintains a list of recognised international universities for equivalency purposes — the recognition of UK degrees by the Ministry affects the career value of a UK qualification for Jordanian students and influences their choice of institution.

Source: Chevening.org; Cambridge Bseisu Foundation; Said Foundation; Jordan Ministry of Higher Education.

Jordan Approaching BCA Threshold — Monitor Closely

Jordan's overall refusal rate has been rising steadily — from 1.2% in 2020 to 4.3% in 2025. Every course level is now between 4.0% and 4.8% — all approaching the new 5% BCA threshold introduced on 4 June 2026. Jordan is not yet in the amber zone but is closer than any other Gulf or Middle East market in the dataset.

Universities with significant Jordan recruitment should monitor their CAS issuance data carefully and be prepared to review agent relationships if refusal rates continue to rise in 2026. The Doctoral refusal rate of 4.1% in 2025 is particularly notable — Doctoral applications from Jordan warrant the same scrutiny as taught course applications given the rate trajectory.

Source: Home Office BCA framework June 2026; Home Office Immigration Statistics year ending March 2026.

University Applications (Undergraduate)

Jordan is a meaningful UCAS undergraduate market — Bachelors now represents 44.0% of all visa grants and is the largest single category for the first time. UCAS is therefore a genuinely important channel for this market. Jordanian UCAS applicants are typically academically strong with good English proficiency — English is widely taught in Jordanian schools and universities. The Below Bachelors cohort at 14.1% represents a meaningful foundation and language programme pipeline. The Doctoral market at 7.4% is the fourth highest in the dataset — research universities should note Jordan's strong tradition in Engineering, Medicine, Computer Science and Pharmacy and consider targeted doctoral scholarship offers for Jordanian researchers.

Source: UCAS data; Jordan Ministry of Higher Education 2025.

Agent landscape

Disclaimer: This section reflects sector market knowledge rather than verified data. A future premium tier will include verified agent performance data sourced directly from university partners.
AgentDescription
British Council JordanPromotes UK education through Study UK brand with strong Amman presence and IELTS network.
SI-UK JordanUK specialist with Amman office, strong Russell Group relationships.
IDP Education JordanGlobal player with Amman presence.
Chevening JordanThe British Embassy manages Chevening scholarship applications in Jordan — key institutional relationship for universities receiving Chevening scholars.
Said FoundationLondon-based foundation funding Middle Eastern students to UK universities. Direct institutional relationship recommended.
AMIDEAST JordanUS-focused but growing UK portfolio in Jordan.
Study Abroad JordanAmman-based agent with UK university relationships.
Global Education JordanMid-market Amman agent with broad UK university relationships.
ApplyBoardTech platform with growing Jordan partnerships.
Keystone Education GroupDigital platform tracking Jordanian student interest in UK.

Recruiter insights

  • Stable market in the 950-1,000 range since 2022 — Jordan is not a growth story but a reliable mid-size Arab market. Predictable and manageable.
  • Bachelors overtook Masters in 2023 for the first time — UCAS and direct undergraduate applications are now the primary channel. Masters has been declining since 2021.
  • Fourth highest Doctoral proportion in the dataset at 7.4% — research universities with Engineering, Medicine, Technology and Pharmacy strengths should specifically target Jordanian doctoral applicants.
  • Refusal rate approaching BCA threshold — all course levels between 4.0% and 4.8% in 2025. Monitor closely in 2026.
  • Q2 growing at 35% — January intake from Jordan is developing and worth investing in.
  • Chevening is a key relationship — UK universities that actively support Chevening applications from Jordan build long-term alumni relationships with future Jordanian leaders.
  • Jordan Vision 2025 priorities — Engineering, Medicine, Technology and Business are the subject areas most aligned with Jordan's national development agenda and most likely to attract scholarship and self-funded students.
  • Palestinian and Syrian heritage students — a meaningful proportion of Jordanian passport holders have regional heritage. Universities with strong Middle East student communities and Arabic language support are particularly well positioned.

Source: Home Office Immigration Statistics year ending March 2026; Chevening.org; Said Foundation; Jordan Ministry of Higher Education; University of Manchester Jordan page; UNHCR Jordan 2025.